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Oscar Watching: Changing Tides?

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Best Actress in a Leading Role

The Jennifer Aniston buzz might fade, but that looks doubtful at this point; awards groups love this kind of performance, too. Maybe critical favorite Marion Cotillard sits out yet again.

1. Julianne Moore for Still Alice

2. Felicity Jones for The Theory of Everything

3. Rosamund Pike for Gone Girl

4. Reese Witherspoon for Wild

5. Jennifer Aniston for Cake

6. Marion Cotillard for Two Days, One Night
7. Amy Adams for Big Eyes
8. Gugu Mbatha-Raw for Belle
9. Emily Blunt for Into the Woods
10. Hilary Swank for The Homesman

Other Possibilities: Jenny Slate for Obvious Child, Marion Cotillard for The Immigrant, Anne Dorval for Mommy, Keira Knightley for Begin Again, Helen Mirren for The Hundred-Foot Journey, Gugu Mbatha-Raw for Beyond the Lights, Scarlett Johansson for Under the Skin, Shailene Woodley for The Fault in Our Stars

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Best Actor in a Leading Role

This could go anywhere, but Jake Gyllenhaal sure is gaining the momentum necessary for a nomination.

1. Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything

2. Michael Keaton for Birdman

3. David Oyelowo for Selma

4. Benedict Cumberbatch for The Imitation Game

5. Steve Carell for Foxcatcher

6. Jake Gyllenhaal for Nightcrawler
7. Ralph Fiennes for The Grand Budapest Hotel
8. Timothy Spall for Mr. Turner
9. Bradley Cooper for American Sniper
10. Oscar Isaac for A Most Violent Year

Other Possibilities: Channing Tatum for Foxcatcher, Jack O’Connell for Unbroken, Ben Affleck for Gone Girl, Miles Teller for Whiplash, Matthew McConaughey for Interstellar, Ellar Coltrane for Boyhood, Joaquin Phoenix for Inherent Vice, James Corden for Into the Woods, Tommy Lee Jones for The Homesman, Chris Rock for Top Five, Chadwick Boseman for Get on Up, John Lithgow for Love is Strange, Alfred Molina for Love is Strange

Robert Duvall?

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The Author

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren

Donovan Warren loves the wonderful world of film and all that comes with it. He specifically loves long takes, fabulous actresses, and keeping up with the Oscar season - even when it's far too early to make sense of anything.